By Matt Mueller and Colton Dunham   Published Jan 06, 2015 at 11:16 AM

The Golden Globes, hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, are this Sunday, which means awards season has officially begun. For critics, it's a time to lament the system that forces art to compete against art and the movies ignored in the process. For the industry, it's a time for extra marketing and promotion. And for your everyday casual entertainment consumers, it's a chance to watch famous people get all dolled up in fancy clothes and then get drunk and make jokes with their famous friends. 

Award season isn't exactly Hollywood at its best, but anything that draws our collective attention away from "The Wedding Ringer" is something we should be grateful for.

Of course, the other major elements of awards season are the predictions.'s resident entertainment savants Matt Mueller and Colton Dunham wracked their heads together and made their picks – Matt on the film side, Colton for TV – for who will win Sunday night, as well as who should win and who should've at least gotten a nomination.  

Best Motion Picture - Drama

  • "Boyhood"
  • "Foxcatcher"
  • "The Imitation Game"
  • "Selma"
  • "The Theory of Everything"

Who will win: "Boyhood"
Who should win: "Boyhood"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Whiplash"

"The Imitation Game" and "The Theory of Everything" will be playing to similar voters, so I expect those two to split the vote. "Foxcatcher" is just way too uncomfortable and cold for people to really get behind (at this point, I wouldn’t be surprised if it even misses out on Oscar nominations).

That leaves us with "Selma" and "Boyhood." I haven’t seen "Selma" yet (fist shake, Paramount), but I’ve heard incredible things, and the trailer is instant goosebumps. But despite the glowing reviews and critical acclaim, the movie hasn’t gathered much awards season love. Maybe it’s Paramount, who has reportedly taken its sweet time in getting screeners out to voters; maybe it’s fatigue from "12 Years a Slave" winning last year. No matter the reason, "Selma" just hasn’t caught on. I’ll take the staggering cinematic achievement that is "Boyhood."

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

  • Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything"
  • Steve Carell, "Foxcatcher"
  • Benedict Cumberbatch, "The Imitation Game"
  • David Oyelowo, "Selma"
  • Jake Gyllenhaal, "Nightcrawler"

Who will win: Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything"
Who should win: Eddie Redmayne, "The Theory of Everything"
Who should’ve been nominated: Philip Seymour Hoffman, "A Most Wanted Man" or Tom Hardy in either "Locke" or "The Drop"

It’s a strong field of unfamiliar faces this year for Best Actor, all very good nominees. The performance that stands out, however, both emotionally and physically is Redmayne as Stephen Hawking. The movie isn’t great, but his performance is, getting inside a character that could’ve been an entirely physical transformation. I forgot I was watching a performance about midway through.

And while I wouldn’t want to replace any of these worthy nominees, throwing Hoffman one final posthumous nomination for his quietly devastating turn in "A Most Wanted Man" would not have made me mad. Then again, this is the same group of people who, when asked about James Gandolfini getting a posthumous nomination last year, said, "Well … he can’t come to the show."

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

  • Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"
  • Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"
  • Reese Witherspoon, "Wild"
  • Felicity Jones, "The Theory of Everything"
  • Jennifer Aniston, "Cake"

Who will win: Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"
Who should win: Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"
Who should’ve been nominated: Shailene Woodley, "The Fault in Our Stars"

I’d actually be quite happy if either Pike’s diabolically villainous, chilly turn as Amazing Amy or Witherspoon’s raw performance in "Wild" got the win here. I’d also actually be quite unsurprised if Aniston came out of nowhere to win too, even though few have actually seen "Cake" and it looks like such a typical awards bait performance (she has scars on her face; how transformative!).

I expect the award here to go to Julianne Moore, who’s shockingly never won either an Oscar or a Golden Globe for a movie role (she won for HBO’s "Game Change" back in 2013) and whose turn as a struggling early onset Alzheimer’s patient has drawn raves for a little seen film. While we’re on the topic of really good performances as sick people, I’m a little sad that Woodley’s turn in "The Fault in Our Stars" has been forgotten. I know we’re all tired of YA adaptations, but she’s so real and human in a surprisingly effective movie. She’s so good, she almost makes that awful Anne Frank scene work. Almost.

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

  • "Into the Woods"
  • "Birdman"
  • "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
  • "St. Vincent"
  • "Pride"

Who will win: "Birdman"
Who should win: "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Guardians of the Galaxy"

Ugh, "Birdman." I’ll be honest; "Birdman" did not work for me. It’s a pretentious movie that’s all too impressed with its own big performances and loud dramatic dialogues and grand meaningful theatrical moments, all for not that much. In fact, I’d rather see one of those dreaded "disaster porn" super hero movies it rails against – the delightfully imaginative, exciting and fresh "Guardians of the Galaxy" – than its exhausting drama porn. But I’m in the minority here. "Birdman" will get the win and continue to be the biggest competition to "Boyhood" for Best Picture.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

  • Michael Keaton, "Birdman"
  • Bill Murray, "St. Vincent"
  • Ralph Fiennes, "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
  • Christoph Waltz, "Big Eyes"
  • Joaquin Phoenix, "Inherent Vice"

Who will win: Michael Keaton, "Birdman"
Who should win: Ralph Fiennes, "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
Who should’ve been nominated: Dan Stevens, "The Guest"

Keaton is pretty much a lock for a win here, and he’s fine. The real winner, however, should be Ralph Fiennes, who played one of the most dynamic, entertaining, charismatic and colorful characters of 2014 in "The Grand Budapest Hotel." His performance is the best; Keaton’s is the loudest. While we’re on the topic of dynamic, entertaining, charismatic and colorful performances in 2014, "The Guest" stars a mesmerizing and delightfully unpredictable Dan Stevens (Matthew from "Downton Abbey"). It comes out on DVD today. Watch it, and join me in the cult of Dan Stevens (warning: this requires also seeing Stevens in "Night at the Museum: Secret of the Tomb").

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

  • Julianne Moore, "Maps to the Stars"
  • Amy Adams, "Big Eyes"
  • Emily Blunt, "Into the Woods"
  • Helen Mirren, "The Hundred Foot Journey"
  • Quvenzhene Wallis, "Annie"

Who will win: Amy Adams, "Big Eyes"
Who should win: Emily Blunt, "Into the Woods"
Who should’ve been nominated: Jenny Slate in "Obvious Child"

Man, what a dire bunch of nominees. It's not that these performances are bad; they're just mostly unremarkable. Little here pops. The only two nominees here that you could maybe see at the Oscars are Adams and Blunt, and neither of those movies have really caused much hoopla, well, anywhere. I’d love to hijack the stage Sunday night and claim the award for Jenny Slate from "Obvious Child," a sweetly funny and frazzled performance in an impressive tightrope walk of a movie. That seems like a poor professional move, however, so I’ll just say Adams comes away with the win, with Blunt’s easy and charming turn very closely behind.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

  • Jessica Chastain, "A Most Violent Year"
  • Keira Knightley, "The Imitation Game"
  • Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood"
  • Meryl Streep, "Into the Woods"
  • Emma Stone, "Birdman"

Who will win: Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood"
Who should win: Patricia Arquette, "Boyhood"
Who should’ve been nominated: Laura Dern, "Wild" or Tilda Swinton, "Snowpiercer"

My favorite two supporting performances of 2014 – Dern’s battered but bright mother and Swinton’s evil future Margaret Thatcher – are unfortunately nowhere to found, but there’s still plenty to like here. Streep delivers one of her better late performances in "Into the Woods," one both fierce and fragile. Stone is one of the best parts of "Birdman" – probably because she spends most of the movie with the other best parts, Edward Norton – and Knightley … well, she’s nice too. I’ll be honest; I don’t get her getting a nomination. She’s a pleasant presence in the movie, but it’s a forgettable role.

That’s all a moot point, however, because Arquette is coming away with the prize. There was a little bit of a debate about whether she deserves to be a supporting actress or a full-on lead (if the movie’s original title "12 Years" stuck, many argue she’d be up for leading), but that’s just noise. She’s a lock for the win.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

  • Ethan Hawke, "Boyhood"
  • Robert Duvall, "The Judge"
  • Edward Norton, "Birdman"
  • J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"
  • Mark Ruffalo, "Foxcatcher"

Who will win: J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"
Who should win: J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"
Who should’ve been nominated: Robert Pattinson, "The Rover"

That’s a solid bunch of nominees up there … and Robert Duvall in "The Judge." Hey, it wouldn’t be the Golden Globes without one major "WTF" nomination. Plus, the other four nominees are terrific. Ruffalo is the quietest member of the "Foxcatcher" leading trio but somehow also its most effecting. Norton is the sharpest part of "Birdman," and I might even prefer Hawke’s performance to Arquette’s in "Boyhood. The winner, however, should and will be J.K. Simmons, one of the most terrifying and memorable on-screen characters of the year. You’ll never be able to watch one of those Farmers Insurance ads again without wetting yourself a bit.

And no, I haven’t lost my mind: That is me actually stumping for Robert Pattinson, lord of the sparkly vampires and pretentious perfume commercials, to get some awards love. He’s actually really great in "The Rover" as a mentally addled young man in a brutal world. And not just really great in comparison to "New Moon."

Best Director

  • Ava DuVernay, "Selma"
  • Wes Anderson, "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
  • Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, "Birdman"
  • David Fincher, "Gone Girl"
  • Richard Linklater, "Boyhood"

Who will win: Richard Linklater, "Boyhood"
Who should win: David Fincher, "Gone Girl"
Who should’ve been nominated: Damien Chazelle, "Whiplash"

It’s going to be a tough choice for the Best Director prize this year. Do you go with the guy who made an incredible experience over the course of 12 years? Do you go with the guy who made a movie look like one big long take (for better or for worse, arguably)? Do you go with Ava DuVernay, likely on her way to becoming the first African-American woman to be nominated for a Best Director Oscar? Do you go with Anderson, at the peak of his cinematic confectionary abilities? Or do you go with Fincher, the guy who made two and a half hours of ridiculously sharp, mood-filled pulp entertainment? Or do you storm the stage and give it to the tense simmer and explosion Chazelle granted "Whiplash"? I bet Linklater wins out, but damn, what a bunch.

Best Screenplay

  • "The Grand Budapest Hotel"
  • "Gone Girl"
  • "Birdman"
  • "Boyhood"
  • "The Imitation Game"

Who will win: "Birdman"
Who should win: "Gone Girl"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Whiplash"

As will be the refrain of the entire awards season, it’ll be a tight match here between "Birdman" and "Boyhood." I’d love for "Gone Girl" to sneak into the conversation, but that’s a long shot when you’ve got such lauded opponents. I think "Birdman" takes the screenplay crown here, just because "Boyhood" isn’t perhaps seen as much as a writer’s triumph as it is a directorial and overall creative triumph.

Best Animated Film

  • "The Lego Movie"
  • "How to Train Your Dragon 2"
  • "Big Hero 6"
  • "The Book of Life"
  • "The Boxtrolls"

What will win: "The Lego Movie"
What should win: "The Boxtrolls"
What should’ve been nominated: N/A

It’s a strong sign for animation when, in a non-Pixar year, you’re looking at a tremendous crop of nominees. "The Book of Life" is the only weakling in the bunch, and even it is respectable contender (it’s no "Cars 2," let’s say that). I’d love to see the delightfully demented claymation tale "The Boxtrolls" take home the trophy (it gave me flashbacks to "Chicken Run," and that is never a bad thing), but let’s be real; it’s going to "The Lego Movie." And no real complaints here; it’s a sugar rush burst of creative energy. In other words: It’s nothing like what we thought it would be based on the title.

Best Foreign Language Film

  • "Ida"
  • "Force Majeure"
  • "Gett: The Trial of Viviane Amsalem"
  • "Tangerines"
  • "Leviathan"

What will win: "Ida"
What should win: "Ida"
What should’ve been nominated: "We Are the Best!"

The Swedish dark familial comedy "Force Majeure" may be the one with the avalanche, but the Poland’s tragic but beautiful "Ida" seems to the be the unstoppable force right now. And deservedly so. Director Pawel Pawlikowski’s breathtaking black and white compositions are so mesmerizing that you’re almost disappointed when a shot is merely gorgeous. It’s on Netflix Instant right now, so you have no excuses (unless you don’t have Internet, which in that case, HOW ARE YOU READING THIS!?). And while we're on the topic of great foreign films on Netflix Instant, give "We Are the Best!" a shot too. It's a Swedish (good year for the Swedes) delight about three girls in the '80s making a punk band that totally earns its title's joyful exclamation point. 

Best Score

  • "The Imitation Game"
  • "The Theory of Everything"
  • "Gone Girl"
  • "Birdman"
  • "Interstellar"

Who will win: "Birdman"
Who should win: "Gone Girl"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Under the Skin"

"Interstellar" found Hans Zimmer doing new things with his usual brand of blockbuster bombast (I mean that as a complement), but the film’s notorious audio problems won’t help him here. "Gone Girl" would be a great pick, with Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross’ usual eerie and moody score setting the perfect uneasy mood. But my bet is the drum-happy "Birdman," the most memorable and distinct of the five nominated movies here.

Also, not that I would ever expect "Under the Skin" to get actually nominated for anything (WAAAAY too weird for awards season), but if it was to sneak in anywhere, slipping it in to replace the treacle from "The Theory of Everything" would make me a very happy camper.

Best Song

  • "Big Eyes" from "Big Eyes"
  • "Glory" from "Selma"
  • "Mercy Is" from "Noah"
  • "Opportunity" from "Annie"
  • "Yellow Flicker Beat" from "The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 1"

Who will win: "Glory" from "Selma"
Who should win: "Glory" from "Selma"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Everything Is Awesome" from "The Lego Movie"

It is decidedly not awesome that "Everything Is Awesome" didn’t come away with a nomination here (I’ve given up hope that the Batman song from "The Lego Movie" will get any awards love). With the actual nominees, though, normally going with the biggest name is your best bet – meaning Lorde’s "Yellow Flicker Beat" or Lana Del Rey’s "Big Eyes" – but I’m betting they go prestige, meaning John Legend/Common’s "Glory" from "Selma." The MLK biopic is oddly getting shut out of a lot of awards, so the HFPA may try to give it some extra love here.

Best TV Series - Drama

  • "Downton Abbey"
  • "The Affair"
  • "Game of Thrones"
  • "House of Cards"
  • "The Good Wife"

Who will win: "House of Cards"
Who should win: "Game of Thrones"
Who should’ve been nominated instead: "The Walking Dead"

One of the most open races is the top television prize of the night. In the past, HFPA has given the top prize to a newcomer like they’ve done with "Lost," "Six Feet Under," "Mad Men," and "Homeland" among others. With this in mind, Showtime’s new drama "The Affair" starring Dominic West and Ruth Wilson may very well win, however, the show doesn’t have nearly as much buzz as "House of Cards," "Game of Thrones," or even "The Good Wife," which many claim had its best season last year. This is the second year in a row in which "House of Cards" has been nominated in the category, so I’m guessing this’ll be the year in which Netflix really stakes their place with their first major win.

Best Actor in a TV Series - Drama

  • Clive Owen, "The Knick"
  • Kevin Spacey, "House of Cards"
  • James Spader, "The Blacklist"
  • Liev Schreiber, "Ray Donovan"
  • Dominic West, "The Affair" 

Who will win: Kevin Spacey, "House of Cards"
Who should win: Clive Owen, "The Knick"
Who should've been nominated: Andrew Lincoln, "The Walking Dead," Freddie Highmore, "Bates Motel," or Michael Sheen, "Masters of Sex" 

If you haven’t been watching Cinemax’s "The Knick," you’ve been missing out on the amazing performance by Clive Owen, who last won a Golden Globe in 2005 for his supporting role in Mike Nichols’ "Closer." Owen certainly has a chance to win for "The Knick," but his main competition is, of course, Kevin Spacey for "House of Cards." The reason? The Netflix drama has more buzz than "The Knick," which didn’t score any other nominations besides this one. James Spader is fantastic on NBC’s "The Blacklist," but again, the show itself didn’t receive any other nominations, leaving Spader’s nomination cold and alone, leaving it much of a surprise if he would win.

Best Actress in a TV Series - Drama

  • Claire Danes, "Homeland"
  • Viola Davis, "How To Get Away With Murder"
  • Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
  • Ruth Wilson, "The Affair"
  • Robin Wright, "House of Cards"

Who will win: Viola Davis, "How To Get Away With Murder" or Julianna Margulies, "The Good Wife"
Who should win: Ruth Wilson, "The Affair"
Who should’ve been nominated: Vera Farmiga, "Bates Motel" or Lizzy Caplan, "Masters of Sex"

This year’s category is packed with nominees who would make it easy for people like me to make a case for why they should win. Julianna Margulies already has one Golden Globe for "The Good Wife," but like I’ve already mentioned, critics are already claiming last season’s as the show’s best, so with buzz like that, Margulies could win her second. Claire Danes already has two for "Homeland," but was surprisingly shutout completely last year, leaving this year’s nomination seeming more like an apology more than anything else.

This year HFPA may very well give it to someone like Viola Davis, who stars in the NBC’s twisty drama "How To Get Away With Murder" or Ruth Wilson for "The Affair," could end up first-time winners because both have been hailed by critics for their performances. Although she’s undeniably impressive in the show, Netflix really has to push for Robin Wright to win for "House of Cards."

Best TV Series - Musical or Comedy

  • "Girls"
  • "Jane The Virgin"
  • "Orange is the New Black"
  • "Silicon Valley"
  • "Transparent"

Who will win: "Orange is the New Black" 
Who should win: "Girls," "Silicon Valley" or "Transparent"
Who should’ve been nominated: "Parks and Recreation," "Louie" or "Broad City" instead of "Jane The Virgin"

When the nominees were announced last month, one of the biggest surprises were the load of new comedies taking place of the familiar awards favorites "Modern Family" and "The Big Bang Theory." Shows like Amazon’s "Transparent," HBO’s "Silicon Valley," and, for some reason, The CW’s "Jane The Virgin" are listed among past nominees "Girls" and "Orange is the New Black." Despite the fresh faces, I have a strong feeling this is going to be the year that "Orange is the New Black" is going to win.

If any of the new series has a chance, it would be the much-talked about series "Transparent," which would obviously be huge for Amazon Prime. The dream winner here would be "Silicon Valley," a comedy series from Mike Judge. The show was consistently funny with every episode and it easily deserves some kind of an award for its hilariously prolonged joke that involves male genitalia. The only nominee that shouldn’t be here is "Jane The Virgin," which should’ve been replaced by the far superior "Parks and Recreation" or "Louie." Heck, if HFPA wanted to nominated a funnier new comedy series instead, I would’ve much preferred to see Comedy Central’s "Broad City" nominated.

Best Actor in a TV Series - Musical or Comedy

  • Don Cheadle, "House of Lies"
  • Louis C.K., "Louie"
  • Ricky Gervais, "Derek"
  • William H. Macy, "Shameless"
  • Jeffrey Tambor, "Transparent"

Who will win: Jeffrey Tambor, "Transparent" or Louis C.K., "Louie"
Who should win: Jeffrey Tambor, "Transparent" or Louis C.K., "Louie"
Who should’ve been nominated: Thomas Middleditch, "Silicon Valley"

Last year’s nominees – such as Michael J. Fox for "The Michael J. Fox Show," Jason Bateman for "Arrested Development," and Jim Parsons for "The Big Bang Theory" – didn’t make the cut this year for not-so-surprising reasons (for example, Fox's show being, you know, cancelled and whatnot). Last year’s winner Andy Samberg, however, surprisingly also wasn’t nominated for "Brooklyn Nine-Nine." This left room for four new nominees.

Replacing the old are Louis C.K. for "Louie," who wasn’t eligible for a nomination last year because of his extended break from the show; Ricky Gervais for "Derek," marking his return to the Globes as a non-host; William H. Macy for "Shameless," his first Golden Globe nomination for the role since his switch from the drama to comedy category; and Jeffrey Tambor for his terrific performance in "Transparent," which seems to be the likely front-runner at this point. While Don Cheadle remains the only actor on the list of nominees with back-to-back nominations, he certainly has the lesser odds. If Tambor doesn’t win, I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Louis C.K. or William H. Macy end up on stage instead.

Best Actress in a TV Series - Musical or Comedy

  • Lena Dunham, "Girls"
  • Edie Falco, "Nurse Jackie"
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep"
  • Gina Rodriguez, "Jane The Virgin"
  • Taylor Schilling, "Orange is the New Black"

Who will win: Taylor Schilling, "Orange is the New Black"
Who should win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, "Veep"
Who should’ve been nominated: Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation"

With "Orange is the New Black" being the front-runner to win in the comedy category, it seems probable that Taylor Schilling could win in the actress category since, you know, she’s the face of the series, and she’s quite talented … but considering who else is nominated, she may not win after all. The repeating pattern with the HFPA is that they seem to really, really like first-time nominees, and this gives Gina Rodriguez a good chance of winning. That doesn’t mean, however, that she’s far more deserving than the always-superb Julia Louis-Dreyfus for her performance as Selina Meyer in HBO’s "Veep" or the equally-as-deserving Lena Dunham for HBO’s "Girls."

Considering the competition, the odds don’t look good for Edie Falco, who is nominated for the fourth time for "Nurse Jackie." In a perfect world, the hilarious (and Golden Globes co-host) Amy Poehler would’ve been nominated for her performance as Leslie Knope in "Parks and Recreation" instead.

Best TV Movie or Mini-Series

  • "Fargo"
  • "The Missing"
  • "The Normal Heart"
  • "Olive Kitteridge"
  • "True Detective" 

Who will win: "True Detective" or "Fargo"
Who should win: "True Detective"
Who should’ve been nominated: "American Horror Story: Freakshow"

I would bet someone my savings, my most cherished possessions and my first-born child that HBO’s masterful series "True Detective" will win, but I’m not going to place the bet just yet. With an Emmy-win already in the bag and a legion of critical praise, FX’s "Fargo" is the only show that has a chance to beat out "True Detective," no matter how many fans the latter has. "True Detective" has as many chances to win as well, considering the huge push HBO gave the series at the Emmys in the Best Drama category, even though it ended up falling victim to "Breaking Bad."

Since this time "True Detective" is in the Best TV or Mini-Series category, a much lesser risk, I have a feeling that "True Detective" will be the show to beat. Good luck, "Fargo." Although it would have no chance in winning, a show that should’ve been nominated is "American Horror Story: Freakshow." I’m shocked it wasn’t, considering it earned two acting nominations.

Best Actor in a TV Movie or Mini-Series

  • Martin Freeman, "Fargo"
  • Woody Harrelson, "True Detective"
  • Matthew McConaughey, "True Detective"
  • Mark Ruffalo, "The Normal Heart"
  • Billy Bob Thornton, "Fargo"

Who will win: Matthew McConaughey, "True Detective" 
Who should win: Matthew McConaughey, "True Detective" 
Who should’ve been nominated: This is actually a very solid set of nominees.

At this point, is anyone really doubting that Matthew McConaughey will be on stage saying, "Alright, alright, alright" as he accepts the Golden Globe? I didn’t think so. His performance as the complex Rust Cohle in "True Detective" is extraordinary, and he deserves to win. I’d be shocked if McConaughey doesn’t win, but if he doesn’t, the only actor on the list who could be on stage instead would be Billy Bob Thornton for "Fargo." That’s a gigantic if, though.

Best Actress in a TV Movie or Mini-Series

  • Maggie Gyllenhaal, "The Honorable Woman"
  • Jessica Lange, "American Horror Story: Freakshow"
  • Frances McDormand, "Olive Kitteridge"
  • Frances O’Connor, "The Missing"
  • Allison Tolman, "Fargo" 

Who will win: Frances McDormand, "Olive Kitteridge"
Who should win: Jessica Lange, "American Horror Story: Freakshow"
Who should’ve been nominated: Sarah Paulson, "American Horror Story: Freakshow"

Out of the last four years, Jessica Lange has won only once for "American Horror Story," but she has won four Golden Globes previously throughout her career. She has a fair chance of winning her sixth, but she's also lost three times in a row now. She deserves to win, however. Her performance as Elsa Mars in "American Horror Story: Freakshow" is incredibly good.

No matter how deserving Lange is, it’ll probably be Frances McDormand who’ll probably win for her performance in HBO’s "Olive Kitteridge." Joining Lange and McDormand are Maggie Gyllenhaal for "The Honorable Woman," Frances O’Connor for the Starz mini-series "The Missing," and Allison Tolman for "Fargo." If there are any surprise winners here, it’ll be Maggie Gyllenhaal for "The Honorable Woman," but don’t count on it.

Best Supporting Actor in a TV Series, Movie, or Mini-Series

  • Matt Bomer, "The Normal Heart"
  • Alan Cumming, "The Good Wife"
  • Colin Hanks, "Fargo"
  • Bill Murray, "Olive Kitteridge"
  • Jon Voight, "Ray Donovan" 

Who will win: Matt Bomer, "The Normal Heart" or Bill Murray, "Olive Kitteridge" 
Who should win: Matt Bomer, "The Normal Heart" 
Who should’ve been nominated: Jake Johnson, "New Girl"; Finn Wittrock, "American Horror Story: Freak Show"; Adam Driver, "Girls"; Nick Offerman, "Parks and Recreation" or Chris Pratt, "Parks and Recreation"

Matt Bomer did something any actor could do to win a truckload of awards: go through a physical transformation on screen. In Bomer’s case, he went from beefcake to AIDS-stricken victim. But, unfortunately for him, it didn’t work quite as well as others as he didn’t have any luck at this past year’s Emmys as he lost to Martin Freeman for "Sherlock: His Last Vow." Maybe Bomer will have better luck at the Golden Globes with Freeman left out of the category entirely. That’s if he can beat out the always-likeable Bill Murray, who made an appearance in "Olive Kitteridge." Murray’s nomination is a bit confusing to begin with, as he plays it straight in the show and has less screen time than Richard Jenkins, who really should’ve been nominated instead.

Best Supporting Actress in a TV Series, Movie, or Mini-Series

  • Uzo Aduba, "Orange is the New Black"
  • Kathy Bates, "American Horror Story: Freakshow"
  • Joanne Froggatt, "Downton Abbey"
  • Allison Janney, "Mom"
  • Michelle Monaghan, "True Detective"

Who will win: Uzo Aduba, "Orange is the New Black" or Allison Janney, "Mom"
Who should win: Michelle Monaghan, "True Detective" or Kathy Bates, "American Horror Story: Freakshow" 
Who should’ve been nominated: Melissa McBride, "The Walking Dead"; Yael Stone, "Orange is the New Black"; Samira Wiley, "Orange is the New Black"; Jemima Kirke, "Girls"; Julia Roberts, "The Normal Heart" or Maisie Williams, "Game of Thrones"

I’m still shocked that the HFPA failed to nominate Julia Roberts for her performance in "The Normal Heart," because they love celebrities. Instead, Joanne Froggatt managed to score a nomination for "Downton Abbey" along with Uzo Aduba for "Orange is the New Black," Kathy Bates for "American Horror Story: Freakshow," Allison Janney for "Mom," and Michelle Monaghan for "True Detective."

Both Allison Janney and Uzo Aduba are just coming off an Emmy win for their roles, so they both might actually have a good shot at winning a Golden Globe. The only competition here for the two is Kathy Bates for "American Horror Story: Freakshow." The most underrated performance in this category, however, is Michelle Monaghan for "True Detective." Her character may not be the most complex, but Monaghan is exceptional as always.